| Google Engineer Peaked at
Year in Search Then Monetized
Inside Info on Polymarket So SDNY
by
Matthew Russell Lee, Patreon Book
Substack SDNY
COURTHOUSE,
May 27 â On May 27 DOJ
announced "the unsealing of a
complaint charging MICHELE
SPAGNUOLO, a/k/a
'AlphaRaccoon,; a software
engineer at Google, with
commodities fraud, wire fraud,
and money laundering arising
from his scheme to
misappropriate confidential
information from his employer
and use that information to
place a series of profitable
Google-related trades on a
prediction market
platform." The
platform, as in another recent
SDNY case, was Polymarket. The
Complaint says, "SPAGNUOLOâs
AlphaRaccoon account wagered:
approximately $937,688 on the
âNOâ side of âWill Bianca
Censori be the #1 searched
person on Google this year?â
at average implied probability
of approximately 85%;
approximately $613,587 on the
âNOâ side of âWill Pope Leo
XIV be the #1 searched person
on Google this year?â at
average implied probability of
approximately 56%;
approximately $509,149 on the
âNOâ side of âWill Donald
Trump be the #1 searched
person on Google this year?â
at average implied probability
of approximately 90%; and
approximately $171,612 on the
âNOâ side of âWill Donald
Trump rank in Googleâs Top 5
Most Searched People of 2025?â
at average implied probability
of approximately 66%. In total, from on
or about October 15, 2025,
through on or about December
4, 2025, SPAGNUOLOâs
AlphaRaccoon account risked
approximately $2,754,092 on
approximately 25 Google Year
in Search 2025 outcomes that
the market treated as
unlikely. Google officially
and publicly announced its
Year in Search 2025 results on
or about December 4, 2025.
Soon after it did so,
SPAGNUOLOâs AlphaRaccoon
account, profited
approximately $1.2 million on
his Google Year in Search
2025-related bets. The case is USA v. Spagnuolo, 1:26-mj-2020 (Netburn)
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